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The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast heavy to very heavy rainfall in northwest, central, and northern peninsular India. Recently, torrential rains have battered Gujarat, Maharashtra, and eastern Rajasthan. The IMD predicts that the deep depression from central India will move into the northeast Arabian Sea by August 30 morning.
According to the IMD's latest update, "DD over Saurashtra & Kachchh remained practically stationary during past 6 hrs and about 50 km north-northwest of Bhuj (Gujarat). To move W-SW and emerge into northeast Arabian Sea by morning of 30th August. While moving W-SW over northeast Arabian Sea away from the Indian coast," as posted on X.
Heavy Rainfall Expected in Coastal Regions
The IMD's forecast for August 29 to September 4 indicates isolated extremely heavy downpours over Gujarat and Maharashtra's Ghats regions. Coastal states like Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan & Goa, and Karnataka's Ghat areas are also expected to experience significant rainfall.
In Gujarat, the rains have caused severe disruptions, resulting in 15 fatalities and displacing over 6,000 people. Vadodra faces a flood-like situation due to the overflowing Vishwamitri River for the second consecutive day.
Flash Flood Risks and Urban Challenges
The IMD has raised concerns about moderate flash flood risks in these regions. Urban areas may face localized flooding of roads, waterlogging in low-lying areas, and possible closure of underpasses.
Delhi has been experiencing continuous rainfall. On August 28, Delhi and NCR received incessant rain with thunderstorms and lightning. The IMD noted that this is the highest number of rainy days in August since 2011 for the national capital.
Impact on Northeast India
Parts of east and northeast India are also expected to see isolated heavy rainfall throughout the week. A cyclonic circulation is likely to form over North Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood from August 24.
Tripura is facing severe distress with at least 31 deaths and over one lakh people left homeless. Reports indicate that 53,356 people are staying in 369 relief camps as their homes have either collapsed or been washed away.
Potential Damage Due to Heavy Rainfall
The heavy rainfall is anticipated to reduce visibility occasionally, disrupt traffic in major cities, and increase travel times. Minor damage to kutcha roads and vulnerable structures is expected along with risks of localized landslides, mudslides, and sinkholes.
The IMD has also warned about potential damage to horticulture and standing crops due to inundation. This could lead to riverine flooding in certain river catchments.
The water level of Gomati River at Sonamura has decreased from above critical level but remains above flood level.
